Archive for June 3rd, 2008

Daily Kos (Meteor Blades diary):

Daily Kos (Meteor Blades diary):

Daily Kos (Meteor Blades diary):

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June 03, 2008 – 11:00PM ET (i) = incumbent = winner = runoff
U.S. Senate – Dem Primary
2585 of 2665 Precincts Reporting – 97%
Max Runoff Cands=2
Name Party Votes Vote %
Figures, Vivian Dem 108,055 63%
Swanson, Johnny Dem 37,927 22%
Townsend, Mark Dem 24,545 14%
U.S. Senate – GOP Primary
2585 of 2665 Precincts Reporting – 97%
Name Party Votes Vote %
Sessions, Jeff (i) GOP 189,601 92%
Gavin, Earl Mack GOP 15,985 8%
U.S. House – District 1 – Dem Primary
Uncontested race, no results will be reported.
Name Party Votes Vote %
Fuller, Thomas Dem 0 0
U.S. House – District 1 – GOP Primary
Uncontested race, no results will be reported.
Name Party Votes Vote %
Bonner, Jo (i) GOP 0 0
U.S. House – District 2 – Dem Primary
378 of 418 Precincts Reporting – 90%
Max Runoff Cands=2
Name Party Votes Vote %
Bright, Bobby Dem 18,095 71%
Sabel, Cheryl Dem 4,067 16%
Crawley, Cendie Dem 3,380 13%
U.S. House – District 2 – GOP Primary
376 of 418 Precincts Reporting – 90%
Max Runoff Cands=2
Name Party Votes Vote %
Love, Jay GOP 15,229 37%
Smith, Harri Anne GOP 8,582 21%
Schmidtke, Craig GOP 7,725 19%
Woods, David GOP 7,226 17%
Grimes, David GOP 2,007 5%
Martin, John GOP 658 2%
U.S. House – District 3 – Dem Primary
Uncontested race, no results will be reported.
Name Party Votes Vote %
Segall, Joshua Dem 0 0
U.S. House – District 3 – GOP Primary
Uncontested race, no results will be reported.
Name Party Votes Vote %
Rogers, Mike (i) GOP 0 0
U.S. House – District 4 – Dem Primary
449 of 466 Precincts Reporting – 96%
Name Party Votes Vote %
Sparks, Nicholas Dem 15,612 59%
Warren, Greg Dem 10,782 41%
U.S. House – District 4 – GOP Primary
Uncontested race, no results will be reported.
Name Party Votes Vote %
Aderholt, Robert (i) GOP 0 0
U.S. House – District 5 – Dem Primary
309 of 312 Precincts Reporting – 99%
Name Party Votes Vote %
Griffith, Parker Dem 34,541 90%
Maker, David Dem 3,874 10%
U.S. House – District 5 – GOP Primary
309 of 312 Precincts Reporting – 99%
Max Runoff Cands=2
Name Party Votes Vote %
Parker, Wayne GOP 18,512 49%
Guthrie, Cheryl GOP 6,941 18%
Mancuso, Angelo GOP 6,158 16%
McKee, Ray GOP 3,342 9%
Barry, George GOP 2,274 6%
Huff, Mark GOP 707 2%
U.S. House – District 6 – GOP Primary
Uncontested race, no results will be reported.
Name Party Votes Vote %
Bachus, Spencer (i) GOP 0 0
U.S. House – District 7 – Dem Primary
Uncontested race, no results will be reported.
Name Party Votes Vote %
Davis, Artur (i) Dem 0 0
Supreme Court – Place 1 – Dem Primary
Uncontested race, no results will be reported.
Name Party Votes Vote %
Paseur, Deborah Bell Dem 0 0
Supreme Court – Place 1 – GOP Primary
Uncontested race, no results will be reported.
Name Party Votes Vote %
Shaw, Greg GOP 0 0
Civil Appeals – Place 1 – Dem Primary
Uncontested race, no results will be reported.
Name Party Votes Vote %
Drake, Kimberly Dem 0 0
Civil Appeals – Place 1 – GOP Primary
Uncontested race, no results will be reported.
Name Party Votes Vote %
Thompson, Bill (i) GOP 0 0
Criminal Appeals – Place 1 – Dem Primary
2583 of 2665 Precincts Reporting – 97%
Name Party Votes Vote %
Jones, Clyde Dem 84,804 53%
Dodd, Steve Dem 76,685 47%
Criminal Appeals – Place 1 – GOP Primary
2578 of 2665 Precincts Reporting – 97%
Max Runoff Cands=2
Name Party Votes Vote %
Kellum, Beth GOP 53,163 34%
McLemore, Lucie GOP 36,789 23%
Petelos, Teresa GOP 34,596 22%
Givhan, Peggy GOP 32,914 21%
Criminal Appeals – Place 2 – Dem Primary
2558 of 2665 Precincts Reporting – 96%
Max Runoff Cands=2
Name Party Votes Vote %
Smith, Aimee Cobb Dem 83,160 52%
Hayden, Jon Dem 39,838 25%
Duffey, Jeff Dem 37,847 24%
Criminal Appeals – Place 2 – GOP Primary
2558 of 2665 Precincts Reporting – 96%
Max Runoff Cands=2
Name Party Votes Vote %
Windom, Mary GOP 91,355 58%
Mixon, Chris GOP 42,416 27%
Crow, Duncan GOP 24,038 15%
Public Service Comm – President – Dem Primary
Uncontested race, no results will be reported.
Name Party Votes Vote %
Baxley, Lucy Dem 0 0
Public Service Comm – President – GOP Primary
2559 of 2665 Precincts Reporting – 96%
Max Runoff Cands=2
Name Party Votes Vote %
Cavanaugh, Twinkle GOP 77,329 47%
Chancey, Matt GOP 46,267 28%
Hornady, Jack GOP 41,712 25%
SBOE – District 1 – Dem Primary
Uncontested race, no results will be reported.
Name Party Votes Vote %
Berry, Kenyon Dem 0 0
SBOE – District 1 – GOP Primary
188 of 203 Precincts Reporting – 93%
Name Party Votes Vote %
McKinney, Randy (i) GOP 23,577 74%
Christopher, Paul GOP 8,483 26%
SBOE – District 3 – Dem Primary
Uncontested race, no results will be reported.
Name Party Votes Vote %
Bell, Judy West Dem 0 0
SBOE – District 3 – GOP Primary
295 of 335 Precincts Reporting – 88%
Name Party Votes Vote %
Bell, Stephanie (i) GOP 26,015 68%
Smithwick, Troy GOP 12,343 32%
SBOE – District 5 – Dem Primary
Uncontested race, no results will be reported.
Name Party Votes Vote %
Bell, Ella (i) Dem 0 0
SBOE – District 5 – GOP Primary
Uncontested race, no results will be reported.
Name Party Votes Vote %
Bridges, Lula GOP 0 0
SBOE – District 7 – Dem Primary
Uncontested race, no results will be reported.
Name Party Votes Vote %
Gardner, Earl Dem 0 0
SBOE – District 7 – GOP Primary
384 of 384 Precincts Reporting – 100%
Name Party Votes Vote %
Warren, Gary GOP 7,535 58%
Whitehead, Brett GOP 5,482 42%
Local Amendment – 1 Baldwin Senior Tax – Ballot Issue
70 of 70 Precincts Reporting – 100%
Name Votes Vote %
Yes 12,953 83%
No 2,727 17%
Local Amendment – 2 Baldwin Bond Levy – Ballot Issue
70 of 70 Precincts Reporting – 100%
Name Votes Vote %
No 10,619 69%
Yes 4,881 31%

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Politico: John McCain portrayed her as a trailblazing model for aspring female politicians yesterday and now one of his top surrogates and vice-presidential prospects is taking the next natural step and promising that they’ll compete for Hillary Clinton’s supporters.

“I think many of those voters are going to consider and support Senator McCain,” said Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty in an afternoon conference calldesigned to prebut Obama’s speech tonight in St. Paul.

Pawlenty even compared the two senators, saying they shared important traits of experience and tenacity.

“They see and saw in Senator Clinton somebody they value experience in and, in many cases — in terms of her personal characteristics — her persistence and strength,” the governor said of Clinton’s backers. “Many of those same characteristics and more are in Senator McCain. So we think he’s going to be able to compete for Senator Clinton’s supporters to a significant degree when and if she terminates her campaign.”

2008 Democratic Convention Watch:

Reported upcoming endorsements: Sen Herb Kohl (WI), Rep. Jerry McNerney (CA), DNC Ralph Dawson (NY), Gov. Bill Ritter (CO), Sen Ken Salazar (CO), Gov. Brian Schweitzer (MT), Sen. Max Baucas (MT), Sen. Jon Tester (MT), Dennis McDonald (MT) and Margaret Campbell who endorsed Obama but had to back down due to her vice-chair position in the Montana Democratic Party.

Today’s latest endorsers:

Added DNC Maria Chappelle-Nadal (MO) for Obama
– Added DNC Joyce Lalonde (MI)* for Obama
– Added Rep. John Olver (MA) for Obama
– Added Rep. Carolyn Cheeks Kilpatrick (MI)* for Obama
– Added DNC Debbie Dingell (MI)* for Obama
– Added DNC Richard Wiener (MI)* for Obama
– Added DNC Jennifer DeChant (ME) for Obama
– Added DNC Joyce Beatty (OH) for Obama
– Added DNC Kwame Kilpatrick (MI)* for Obama
– Added Rep. John Spratt (SC) for Obama
– Added DNC Debra Kozikowski (MA) for Obama
– Added DNC Jon Ausman (FL)* for Clinton
– Added DNC John Perez (CA) for Obama
– Added Jimmy Carter (GA) for Obama
– Added DNC Tina Abbott (MI)* for Obama
– Switched DNC Ben Johnson (DC) from Clinton to Obama
– Switched DNC Kamil Hasan (CA) from Clinton to Obama
– Added DNC Diane Glasser (FL)* for Obama
– Switched Rep. Maxine Waters (CA) from Clinton to Obama
– Added DNC John Daniello (DE) for Obama
-Added DNC Harriet Smith-Windsor (DE) for Obama
– Switched DNC Rhett Ruggerio (DE) from Clinton to Obama
– Added Rep. Dennis Moore (KS) for Obama
-Added DNC Belkis (Bel) Leong-Hong (MN) for Obama.
-Added LA Rep. William Jefferson (LA) for Obama.
-Added WY DNC Cindy Nunley (WY) for Clinton.
-Added Rep. Bob Brady (PA) for Obama
-Added DNC Mike Tardiff (MI)* for Obama
-Added DNC Ray Buckley (NH) for Obama
-Added DNC Frank Dixon (OR) for Obama
-Added DNC Margaret Campbell (MT) for Obama
– Added DNC Muriel Offerman (NC) for Obama

The Associated Press is reporting:

Barack Obama effectively clinched the Democratic presidential nomination Tuesday, based on an Associated Press tally of convention delegates, becoming the first black candidate ever to lead his party into a fall campaign for the White House.

Doc’s Political Parlor:

Let’s take a quick look at some of today’s races…

AL-02

Republican

This has been the most competitive and expensive race of the primary cycle with four of the Republican candidates spending several hundred thousand dollars, each digging in their own pocket for a large percentage of their overall budget. While this race has had its share of twists and turns, it looks like the primary is ending where it began – with Harri Anne Smith and Jay Love as the favorites. Despite game efforts by David Woods and Craig Schmitdke, it’d be a huge upset if either displaced one of the top two to make the runoff.

Depending on which poll ones looks at, either Smith or Love has the lead. It’ll be interesting to see which candidate comes up on top, but unless there is a lead of high single digits or more, a runoff would begin on a pretty even footing.

Prediction – Smith and Love finish well ahead of the pack but within less than four points of each other, with Schmidtke usurping third place from David Woods.

Democratic

This one won’t be close. It’s hard to imagine Bright being seriously pushed to secure the nomination, but only a fraction of one of the district’s counties has actually ever seen him on the ballot. And opponent Cheryl Sabel is the only Democrat to run television ads, while Bright strategically sitting on his money. I’d peg 60%-65% as the expected Bright range, with anything below that showing considerable weakness that won’t help the mayor begin the general on the right foot.

Prediction – Bright wins by about 2 to 1 over his two lower profile opponents.

AL-05

Republican

Though this has race attracted its share of Republicans, only two candidates have run top-flight, professional campaigns saturating the district with TV ads. Wayne Parker was the establishment favorite all along with Cheryl Baswell Guthrie playing the role of the self-funding insurgent. Guthrie’s fourth quarter ads hitting Parker for his lobbyist background have shaken up the race as local Repbulican figures have condemned Guthrie’s negativity. Doc Mancuso has injected his campaign with over $100K from his own pocket, which should separate him from the also-rans. But it’s hard to imagine any result other than Parker finishing first with Guthrie in second with everyone else in the dust. Which leaves the question: will Wayne Parker secure a majority today or will he be faced with a six week runoff that could grow increasingly negative?

Prediction – Guthrie’s negative ads might not ultimately help her bid for the nomination, but it will be enough to keep Parker under 50% and ensure a runoff.

AP: Clinton set to concede delegate race to Obama. (UPDATE: HRC CAMP DENIES.)

Hillary Rodham Clinton will concede Tuesday night that Barack Obama has the delegates to secure the Democratic nomination, campaign officials said, effectively ending her bid to be the nation’s first female president.

Politico: Superdelegates surge to Obama.

A tsunami of superdelegates is poised to rush to Sen. Barack Obama (D-Ill.) over the next 12 hours, giving him a mathematical lock on his party’s presidential nomination.

Drudge Shocker!:

HILLARY CAMPAIGN EXPECTS 25-POINT WIN IN S DAKOTA, TOP SOURCES TELL DRUDGE... DEVELOPING...

Pollster.com: Obama 283, McCain 255.

The Hill: McAuliffe: If Obama reaches 2118, Clinton will concede.

Terry McAuliffe, Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton’s (N.Y.) campaign chairman, said Tuesday that he believes that, once Sen. Barack Obama (Ill.) reaches the number of delegates necessary to clinch the Democratic presidential nomination, the former first lady “will congratulate him and call him the nominee.”

The New Yorker has a fascinating little article about the dreaded hangover, and moreover, potential remedies from around the world.

New Yorker: Of the miseries regularly inflicted on humankind, some are so minor and yet, while they last, so painful that one wonders how, after all this time, a remedy cannot have been found. If scientists do not have a cure for cancer, that makes sense. But the common cold, the menstrual cramp? The hangover is another condition of this kind. It is a preventable malady: don’t drink. Nevertheless, people throughout time have found what seemed to them good reason for recourse to alcohol. One attraction is alcohol’s power to disinhibit—to allow us, at last, to tell off our neighbor or make an improper suggestion to his wife. Alcohol may also persuade us that we have found the truth about life, a comforting experience rarely available in the sober hour. Through the lens of alcohol, the world seems nicer. (“I drink to make other people interesting,” the theatre critic George Jean Nathan used to say.) For all these reasons, drinking cheers people up. See Proverbs 31:6-7: “Give . . . wine unto those that be of heavy hearts. Let him drink, and forget his poverty, and remember his misery no more.” It works, but then, in the morning, a new misery presents itself.